An article in Business week begins to look at forecasting the ’04 election based on economic data….
BW Online | August 4, 2003 | Bush in ’04, Even with This Economy
Many economists feel the economy will have to grow at 3.5% before employment starts picking up. But whether the nation will enjoy that kind of rebound next year is problematic at best. Says John S. Irons, another election-and-economy watcher: “Usually, it’s clear. The economy is doing well and employment is strong, or GDP and employment are terrible. This election might test that. GDP has been slow, but employment has been unambiguously bad.”